Download Forecasting High-Frequency Volatility Shocks An Analytical Real-Time Monitoring System
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Book Details :
Published on: 2016-03-11
Released on: 2016-03-11
Original language: English
This thesis presents a new strategy that unites qualitative and quantitative mass data in form of text news and tick-by-tick asset prices to forecast the risk of upcoming volatility shocks. Holger Kömm embeds the proposed strategy in a monitoring system, using first, a sequence of competing estimators to compute the unobservable volatility; second, a new two-state Markov switching mixture model for autoregressive and zero-inflated time-series to identify structural breaks in a latent data generation process and third, a selection of competing pattern recognition algorithms to classify the potential information embedded in unexpected, but public observable text data in shock and nonshock information. The monitor is trained, tested, and evaluated on a two year survey on the prime standard assets listed in the indices DAX, MDAX, SDAX and TecDAX. Content Posted in 2015 Research Online - University of ... Content Posted in 2015. PDF. Physiological employment standards for firefighters: Report 3: Physical aptitude tests for contemporary firefighters Herbert Groeller ... International Financial Crises International Financial Crises Homepage Research Papers & Resources. Welcome to International Financial Crises. This page is dedicated the study of financial crises ... Working paper series - Banco Central Do Brasil The Working Papers should not be reported as representing the views of the Banco Central do Brasil. The views expressed in the papers are those of the author(s) and ... Research - Bank of Canada Research is central to the monetary policy framework. The Bank continues to broaden its research and analysis of structural and sectoral issues while establishing ... Le Live Marseille : aller dans les plus grandes soires ... Retrouvez toutes les discothque Marseille et se retrouver dans les plus grandes soires en discothque Marseille. Trabalhos para discusso - bcb.gov.br Os Trabalhos para Discusso no devem ser citados como representando as opinies do Banco Central do Brasil. As opinies expressas nos trabalhos so ... Theses and Dissertations Available from ProQuest Theses ... Theses and Dissertations Available from ProQuest. Full text is available to Purdue University faculty staff and students on campus through this site. Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Research Economic ... Exchange rate shocks have mixed effects on economic activity in both theory and empirical VAR models. In this paper we extend the empirical literature by considering ...
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